Policy and Prices Impact Output for Extractive Industries – Is Colorado Closed for Business?

The extractive industries are an important and visible part of Colorado’s economy. In 2012, Colorado’s GDP was 1.76% of the U.S. GDP and Colorado’s Mining sector output was 3.58% of the U.S. Mining sector output.  In other words, Colorado’s extractive industries critical components of both the state and the national economy.

Between 1997 and 2012, there were stark differences in the state and national output for the extractive industries and the private sector.

  • The annualized rate of growth for U.S. Private Sector Real GDP (sum of all states) was 2.3% and the extractive industries were -0.6%.
  • The compound growth rate for Colorado Private Sector Real GDP was 3.1% and the extractive industries grew at a rate of 3.6%.

Nationally sector output trended downward from 1997 to 2005 and trended upward from 2005 to 2009. Between 2009 and 2012, sector output trended downward again.

In Colorado sector output  trended upward from 1997 to 2009; however, it has trended downward since 2009.

  • The annualized rate of growth for U.S. Private Sector Real GDP (sum of all states) was 2.5% and extractive industry output was -2.0%.
  • The compound growth rate for Colorado Private Sector Real GDP was 2.2% and extractive industry output was -4.0%.

The variance in output has been caused by changes in prices, supply and demand, and policy. Recently, the latter has had the most detrimental impact on the industry in Colorado.  Policy and anti-fracking efforts are likely to further suppress output in the months ahead. In addition to reducing output, this will create the perception that Colorado is not a business-friendly state.


©Copyright 2011 by CBER.