Colorado High Tech Job Growth Flat for Past Year

Colorado’s high-tech cluster played an essential part in the growth of the state economy for the past 20 years, particularly between 1994 and 2001. At its peak in 2001, it employed more than 216,000 workers, or 9.67% of total employment.

Today that number is roughly 175,000, the same that it was when the recession officially ended in mid-2009.  High-tech employment accounts for 7.67% of total workers.

The cluster, as defined by Colorado’s Labor Market Information agency, actually continued to decline after the recession. It bottomed out in March of 2010 at 169,300 workers. Over the next 15 months more than 6,000 jobs were added and 176,000 high-tech workers were employed in July 2012. Cluster employment has been relatively flat since then.

Colorado’s telecommunications sector continues to experience declines resulting from consolidations. As well, it has recently been announced that Abound Solar is going into bankruptcy, the addition of a proposed General Electric facility will be delayed and another GE facility will reduce its workforce. In addition the Aerospace and Clean Energy Park in Northern Colorado was scrapped. Unfortunately, the volatility associated with the fledgling renewable energy cluster comes as no surprise. Proposed defense cuts could play havoc with the state aerospace industry.

Current projections for Real GDP growth are less than 2.0% for the next year. Continued lackluster job growth in the high-tech sector is likely.

 

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

ATFilms – CPIA Company of the Year

The Colorado Photonics Industry Association (CPIA) hosted its 14th annual membership meeting on October 25 to showcase photonics research being conducted at Colorado’s universities. As well, CPIA also recognized Advanced Thin Films as its Company of the Year.

ATFilms specializes in advanced coating technology available, ion beam sputtering (IBS), and mastering the deposition of precise, dense, and durable films. As well they manufacture a full line of superpolished optical substrates with less than one angstrom RMS micro-roughness.

In addition to hearing presentations by each of the state’s research universities, there was a poster session that featured 26 research projects being conducted by students. Last year, CSU swept the top spots in the poster session; this year the top finishers were from CU and CSU. This year’s winning posters were:

First   “Photolithography Process using Extreme Ultraviolet Lasers”/Wei Li
Second   “Surface Acoustic Wave Metrology using EUV Light” /Kathleen Hoogeboom-Pot
Third   “The Development of Multiparametric Microfluidic Flow Cytometry for Directed Evolution of Red-Fluroescent Proteins”  Kevin M. Dean.

For the uninitiated, photonics is an enabling technology that is a driver of the state and national economy.  The technology is the foundation of the aerospace, biomedical, homeland security, and medical device industries.

Photonics-based technologies impact our daily lives, although we may seldom recognize it. Something as simple as a mirror is a photonics device. Twenty years ago devices such as infrared remote controls, light-emitting diodes, sensors, and laser printers were novelties. Today they are common place. To learn more about the prevalence of photonics in our daily lives click here.

 

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

10 Years After 9/11 – High Tech Employment Falls Off

For the past 20+ years, Colorado’s high tech cluster has been a driver of the state economy, creating high-paying primary jobs that spawn growth in other sectors of the economy. During much of that time Colorado has been recognized as one of the top states in the country for its number of high tech workers, on a per capita basis.

There is no NAICS code that reports advanced technology employment. Rather than being called an industry, it is technically a cluster because it’s companies crosses a number of sectors. They vary from goods producers and extractive industries to service providers, such as engineers and architects. The high tech cluster has varied in size from 120,000 to 220,000 workers over the past two decades. Currently it employs about 172,000 people.

Because it is a cluster, special calculations are necessary to determine employment levels. Rather than perform these calculations, a good proxy of the presence of high tech or advanced technology, from both an employment and output perspective, is the performance of the Manufacturing; Information; and Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (MIPTS) sectors.

The two recessions during the past ten years provided advanced technology companies with motivation to increase productivity through outsourcing and investments in capital. As a result employment declined precipitously, while output showed impressive gains.

In 2000, MIPTS employment was 451,100 workers. About 87,400 jobs were lost by 2010, or an annualized decline of  -2.1%. At that point, the MIPTS sectors accounted for 363,800 workers or 16.4% of total employment.

It remains to be seen what impact the sharp decline in employment will have on Colorado’s MIPTS and the high tech cluster. There are concerns that its dropoff will adversely impact the supply chain within the state as well as the base of trained workers. Can Colorado maintain its innovative edge? Time will tell.

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

Manufacturing, Information, and Professional Business Services Drive Colorado Economy

All industries play different and important roles in our economy. Some pay high wages or create new jobs, while others provide services that generate tax revenue.

Economic developers welcome the creation of any job, but they emphasize the recruitment and retention of companies that have primary jobs. A primary job brings in money from outside the local community and often pays higher than average wages. As a result, these jobs create wealth and other local jobs.

In Colorado most primary jobs are in the Manufacturing, Information, and Professional Business Services sectors. They account for about 29% of total state private sector employment and 35% of the state’s private sector Real GDP. Colorado’s Advance Technology cluster is a subset of these three sectors.

In recent years, the Mining and Logging sector has employed about 1.5% of total private sector workers, yet it has accounted for about 6% of the state’s private sector output. The Real Estate and Finance group of sectors are also small from an employment perspective; however, they make a significant contribution, 23%, to the state’s private sector output.

Tourism and retail are important for different reasons. First, they touch the economies of all 64 counties.
Colorado’s scenic mountains provide the state with a distinctive competency, that cannot be replicated. Sales tax from the retail sector are a funding source for special districts and state and local governments. These sectors are important because they employ about 1 out of every 4 workers. Combined, they are responsible for about 11% of the state’s private sector output.

Finally, industries such as health care, personal services, utilities and the remaining sectors are important
because they add to the quality of life. These and the remaining sectors employ 35-40% of private sector workers, while being responsible for about 25% of private sector output.

The above analysis is based on 2009 data. The Bureau of Economic Analysis is scheduled to release its 2010 data within the month. Watch for more in-depth analysis at www.cber.co.

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

Colorado’s Bottom-Up Economic Development Strategy

The first week in February Governor Hickenlooper (call me “John”) hosted the ninth stop in his Bottom-Up Economic Development tour across Colorado. For about two hours, the region’s top economic developers discussed job creation, economic development, and steps for increasing government efficiencies.

The most frequently discussed topic was transportation and the top priority was to complete FasTracks in a timely and cost effective manner. In addition leaders made a case for completion of the final leg of the beltway (between Broomfield and Golden) around the city, expansion of commercial air, maintenance of our bridges and highways, and reduction of congestion along I-70 into ski country.

Panelists felt that innovation and the attraction/retention of primary jobs was critical if we are to maintain our regional and national competitiveness. They also cited the need to have a well-trained workforce and an efficient, accountable, and adequately funded education system. As well, it is imperative that Coloradans work together to maintain the quality of life that makes the state so attractive. This will require leaders to address issues related to our water supplies, develop parks and recreation areas, invest in infrastructure, and utilize the state’s unique assets to attract commerce.

The metro area’s economic diversity was evident as leaders spoke in support of industries and clusters endemic to their region. For example, they addressed the need for the state to be more “military-friendly”, consider construction of nuclear power plants, understand the importance of refineries, realize the value of our construction and extractive industries, and support gaming and tourism.

As the Bottom-Up discussions continue, it would be beneficial to reflect on past economic-development successes. For example, consider the public-private partnership, the former Colorado Advanced Technology Institute (CATI). During the late 1980s, CATI was established to guide the development of science and technology and the growth of select high-tech clusters. Specifically, the group’s work laid the groundwork for the state’s photonics, materials, hardware, software, telecommunications, and bioscience clusters. While it may not be appropriate to resurrect CATI as it existed, there is merit in having the an organization that would fill many of CATI’s roles in fostering long-term growth.

Four years ago, a state job cabinet was formed, town meetings were held across the state to gather input, and plans were put in place. While that effort was well intended, it did not have the desired impact. Hopefully this Bottom-Up Planning approach with be more successful.

A well-thought out economic development plan couldn’t come at a better time. Colorado employment remains below the 2001 peak and it will be years before state payrolls return to the pre-Great Recession high mark.

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

University of Northern Colorado Economic Forecast Points to Slow Growth in 2011

The economic outlook for Northern Colorado matches that of the state – a slow but, painful recovery, according to Dr. John Green regional economist. In his annual forecast, Green pointed to 3.0% Real GDP growth this year with the possibility of a negative quarter.

On a sobering note he indicated that the labor supply will exceed demand – at least until the last of the baby boomers retires (2029). Green also indicated that the computer revolution has decreased the need for certain occupations, which will maintain a high level of competitiveness in the job market.

Green was not particularly optimistic about the housing market. He felt the housing supply was too high, further price declines are possible, mortgage rates are expected to rise, and that problems within the financial/mortgage industry will remain a problem. Finally he expects inflation to higher in both 2011 and 2012.

Locally, Green’s economic model pointed to flat employment growth in Northern Colorado. He felt that a more likely scenario was for employment to recover slowly throughout 2011 and 2012. Growth will be led by agriculture, the biosciences, clean energy, retail and the hospitality sectors. (On a positive note, NPR recently reported that Vestas plans to add 60 employees at its Windsor facility and begin operations in Brighton in 2011. The Windsor facility has a workforce of about 700 workers).

The high levels of foreclosures will prevent the housing market from gaining momentum. In addition, Green reported that houses under $280,000 are moving whereas more expensive ones are not. On the commercial side, construction is likely to resume in late 2011 at the earliest. Lastly, the number of bankruptcies are on the rise in Northern Colorado.

The NCBR  Economic Forecast was held on Jan 6, 2011 at the University of Northern Colorado campus and also featured Mark Snead, Vice President, Economist, and Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City – Denver Branch  and Sandra Hagen Solin of The Capitol Solutions Team .

 

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

REO – Bright Light in the Down Economy

Although Colorado’s high tech cluster has been hit hard during the “lost decade” there are some bright spots. On November 17 the Colorado Photonics Industry Association (CPIA)  recognized Research Electro-Optics, Inc. (REO)  as one of those bright spots when it named it the 2010 Colorado Photonics Company of the Year.

REO is a precision optics and thin film coating company founded in Colorado in 1980. It services small to medium to high volume OEMs including manufacturers of defense and aerospace systems, laser systems, semiconductor tools, medical systems, life sciences instrumentation and telecommunications equipment.

In recent years REO has expanded its staff and increased its new manufacturing and technology assets. REO officials indicated that they have been profitable for all of the past six years, with double-digit growth in several of those years. The company is privately held, with 2010 annual sales projected to be in the neighborhood of $40 million.

The Colorado photonics cluster received a boost during the mid-1980s, around the time REO was started. At that time, the Colorado Advanced Technology Institute (CATI) provided a small matching grant for at National Science Foundation Center of Excellence at CU and CSU. That grant ultimately led research that was commercialized to form 20 companies.

As an enabling technology, photonics touches many industries, such as aerospace, renewable energy, homeland security, biomedical devices, telecommunications, and defense. This allows companies, such as REO to diversify their product line and clients, thus insulating them from turbulent economic times.

Congratulations to REO!

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

KC Fed Cites Growth in 10th District High-Tech

The Denver Business Journal recently reported that the Kansas City Federal Reserve Beige Book stated that during late July and August, consumer spending in the 10th District “increased slightly from the previous period, and high-tech and transportation firms reported moderate growth.”

Colorado’s Office of Labor Market Information  (LMI) group has produced a definition of Advanced Technology (AT) and a data series based on this definition. That definition suggests that AT includes much of the Manufacturing; Information; and Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services sectors (PST).

Based on their definition of AT, the cluster does not appear to be performing as well in Colorado as their counterparts in other parts of the 10th district.

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.