10 Years After 9/11 – Housing Prices

Can you say housing bubble?

During the Lost Decade Colorado residents felt like Ann Hodges, the only person on record to be hit by a meteorite. While the rest of the nation was enjoying steep appreciation in their housing prices, Coloradans only saw modest gains.

Then their fortunes turned.

When the housing bubble burst in 2006, Colorado prices either remained stable or recorded a modest decline. Comparatively speaking, that is good news. Residents in many other states saw precipitous declines.

The downturn in prices meant that at one point, at least 25% of U.S. homeowners, or more than 11 million people, were underwater on their loans. They owed more than the value of their homes.

This problem can be attributed to the creative financing tools that allowed homeowners to treat their dwellings as “cash registers” during times of steep appreciation. They took on extra debt expecting the steep appreciation to continue. When prices plunged, the additional debt came back to haunt them.

Lower housing prices has theoretically made it possible for first-time buyers, those wanting to upgrade, or those previously shut out of the market to purchase a home. But, there is a catch. Underwater owners have difficulty refinancing their homes and those who qualify for refinancing may choose not to sell at a loss.

The combination of underwater owners and the high number of foreclosures has created chaos for the construction market.

It is not a pretty situation; however, in many cases, the lack of steep appreciation in the first part of the decade has worked to the advantage of Coloradans.

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

10 Years After 9/11 – Construction

Colorado construction employment declined from mid-2001 through 2004, in part due to 9/11 and the recession. It rebounded between 2005 and 2008, but plunged in 2008. Employment in 2011 dropped back to levels last seen in 1995.

State single family building permits peaked in 2004 at 40,753 and plunged to 7,231 in 2009. A slight recovery was seen in 2010 and 2011.

Total construction valuation for Colorado peaked at $16.8 billion in 2006 and fell to $6.2 billion in 2010.

Colorado’s Construction Sector Real GDP peaked in 2000. It declined at an annualized rate of -5.9% between 2000 and 2010.

In short, the Construction Sector got hammered.

For additional information, see the reports The Colorado Economy Ten Years After September 11, 2001 and Colorado’s Construction Industry – Impact Beyond the Hammers and Nails at cber.co.

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.