Lower Gasoline Prices Save $45 in 2014

In mid-April 2012 the price for a gallon of gasoline was just under $4.00. It slowly declined through mid 2014 to about $3.80 in the U.S. and Colorado. At that point it went into a freefall and closed the year at about $2.40 per gallon.

The Savings
• For 2014 the cost to purchase 15 gallons of gasoline per week in Colorado was $2,659 compared to $2,704 in 2013. In other words, the “savings” was $45 for the year.
• For 2014 the cost to purchase 15 gallons of gasoline per week in the U.S. was $2,696 compared to $2,788 in 2013. The savings was $92 for the year.
• For 2014, the cost to purchase 15 gallons of gasoline per week in Colorado was $37 less than the U.S.

The Good News – Lower gasoline prices may increase discretionary income for consumers. It may decrease the cost of other goods, if businesses pass along their savings for lower fuel costs. In Colorado, the thought of greater discretionary income may be nothing more than a dream for many as inflation, particularly for housing costs, has risen.

The Not So Good News – Typically, the impact of lower oil and gasoline prices on the state is negative. In other words, consumers will benefit; however, state coffers will not be as full because tax collections will be lower.

There is no free lunch!

gasoline prices

Colorado Added 68,100 Jobs in 2013

The Bureau of Labor Statistics recently released the preliminary employment revisions for 2013. The data showed that Colorado added 68,100 jobs in 2013, an increase of 2.9% compared to 2012.

  • Growth was led by Construction; Accommodations and Food Services; and Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (PST).
  • None of the Supersectors lost jobs in 2013.
  • Several organizations were reclassified in the NAICS system during the year. They were moved from private health care and local government sectors to state government. This created artificial or structural levels of change for these 3 sectors.

The number of jobs added in 2013 was the 11th strongest year the state in terms of absolute job growth; however, it was only the 39th best year in terms of relative job growth.

After declines in employment in 2009 and 2010, Colorado added:

  •  36,300 jobs in 2011.
  •  54,400 jobs in 2012.
  •  68,100 jobs in 2013.

Job growth is expected to continue in 2014 at a rate similar to last year.

 

 

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

Year-End Colorado County Unemployment Rates for 2013 Range from 3.2% to 12.3%

The year-end 2013 state unemployment rates were recently released and Colorado posted a not-seasonally adjusted (NSA) rate of 5.9%.

The county unemployment rates were the lowest in:

  •  Yuma 3.2%
  •  Cheyenne 3.2%
  •  Kiowa 3.3%.

The metro counties with the lowest rates were:

  • Boulder 4.4%
  • Larimer 4.8%
  • Broomfield 5.3%

The county unemployment rates weret he highest in:

  •  Costilla 12.3%
  •  Saguache 10.3%
  • Huerfano 10.2%

The metro counties with the highest rates were:

  •  Pueblo 8.6%
  •  El Paso 7.2%
  •  Mesa 6.9%

 county unemployment rate

The NSA year-end county unemployment rates  are listed below.
 

County

%

County

%
Adams County 6.5   Kit Carson County 3.8
Alamosa County 7.0   La Plata County 4.7
Arapahoe County 5.7   Lake County 5.5
Archuleta County 7.0   Larimer County 4.8
Baca County 3.5   Las Animas County 9.0
Bent County 7.5   Lincoln County 4.0
Boulder County 4.4   Logan County 4.7
Broomfield County 5.3   Mesa County 6.9
Chaffee County 5.6   Mineral County 6.8
Cheyenne County 3.2   Moffat County 5.2
Clear Creek County 5.3   Montezuma County 7.0
Conejos County 9.3   Montrose County 8.5
Costilla County 12.3   Morgan County 5.2
Crowley County 9.6   Otero County 8.0
Custer County 6.6   Ouray County 4.9
Delta County 7.3   Park County 6.0
Denver County 6.2   Phillips County 4.0
Dolores County 6.4   Pitkin County 5.8
Douglas County 4.7   Prowers County 5.0
Eagle County 5.2   Pueblo County 8.6
El Paso County 7.2   Rio Blanco County 4.7
Elbert County 4.6   Rio Grande County 8.6
Fremont County 8.1   Routt County 4.5
Garfield County 5.8   Saguache County 10.3
Gilpin County 5.4   San Juan County 6.4
Grand County 4.6   San Miguel County 5.0
Gunnison County 5.5   Sedgwick County 4.1
Hinsdale County 3.4   Summit County 4.1
Huerfano County 10.2   Teller County 6.9
Jackson County 3.6   Washington County 4.0
Jefferson County 5.4   Weld County 6.1
Kiowa County 3.3   Yuma County 3.2

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

The Return of the Dow Jones Industrial Average – 26.5%

What a year it was – at least for the equities markets!

The DJIA surpassed the peak for 2007 and closed the year 2013 at 16,577.

The 2013 closing total was 26.5% above the close in 2012. It follows growth rates of:

  • 5.9% in 2012
  • 5.5% in 2011
  • 11.0% in 2010.

The great crash of 2008 seems so far away.

Looking back…the DJIA peaked at 14,163 on October 9, 2007. Between then and December 31, 2013, the market rose by 2,274 points. This is an annualized rate of change of only 2.5%, slightly better than the rate of inflation.

Suddenly 26.5% doesn’t sound so good, but thank goodness it happened!

©Copyright 2011 by CBER.

DU is Top Business School, CSU is Best Buy, Leeds School Lags

On March 20th, Bloomberg Businessweek published the 2013 rankings for 124 undergraduate business programs (www.businessweek.com). Much to the chagrin of alumni and staff at the Dyson, Olin, Wharton, and Carroll schools, the Mendoza School of Business topped the charts for the fourth consecutive year.

Once again the rankings for Colorado universities showed the DU Daniels School is the top ranked school, #68, followed by CSU, which moved up in the ranks to #89. Once again the University of Colorado Leeds School of Business brought up the rear. This past year CU Leeds dropped in the rankings from #92 to #101, out of 124 schools.

On the lighter side, the three Colorado business schools were ranked third (DU), fourth (CSU), and fifth (CU) as he best business schools for ski bunnies. The University of Utah and BYU claimed the top slots.

The table, below, compares a portion of the Businessweek ratings for the Daniels, Leeds, and CSU business schools.  The data covers three basic areas: cost, diversity/SAT scores, and quality/rankings in key areas.

Cost – The cost to attend these schools for four years, assuming an annual increase of 5% each year, is:
• Notre Dame – Mendoza  $241,000.
• University of Denver – Daniels  $223,000
• CU – Leeds (out-of-state) – $209,000
• CU – Leeds (in-state) – $119,000
• CSU – (out of state) – $151,000
• CSU – (in state) – $83,000.
The cost for an out-of-state student to attend CU Leeds is slightly less than Mendoza or Daniels, yet the data suggests the quality of the degree is significantly less.

Diversity/SAT of Students – The Daniels School has a higher percentage of female and international students than its peers. It and Mendoza have a greater mix of minorities.

There is no difference between the CU Leeds and CSU average SAT scores and both are significantly lower than the Daniels and Mendoza schools.  There are bright students at all schools, but the caliber of students at CU Leeds and CSU is lower.

Quality/Rankings in Key Areas – CU Leeds has positioned itself as an expensive program that focuses on serving a large number of students by having large class sizes, i.e. the primary goal is quantity. Of the 124 programs, CU Leeds is the 21st largest. Only 6 of the top 25 schools have more students than CU Leeds; these schools are ranked 9th, 13th, 20th, 21st, 22nd, and 25th, i.e. quantity is secondary to quality at the top schools. Revenue generation for the University of Colorado is a priority of the Leeds program.

Unfortunately, CU Leeds is ranked 107th in the student survey and 92nd in academic quality. It only received a grade of B in teaching quality. In 2007 a $38 million renovation of Koelbel Hall was completed and the staff was reorganized to better meet the needs of the students. These changes fell short, as yet CU Leeds was only rated B for facilities and services.

A final consideration is the average wages for graduating students. CU Leeds is slightly higher than its Colorado counterparts, but not enough to warrant the extra cost of tuition and the lower quality of education.  Most likely the average wages for DU Daniels students is lower because of the number of students that study in hotel management, an industry with lower wages.

It is possible for students to obtain a quality business degree at any of Colorado’s colleges and universities. Rankings such as those produced by Businessweek are a valuable tool for identifying the strengths and weaknesses of various schools and determining which ones are the best match for each individual’s needs.

@Copyright 2011 by CBER.